Title: Trust Wallet Integrates Native Predictions Markets, Partners with Myriad, Polymarket, and Kalshi
Meta Description: Trust Wallet launches a native "Predictions" tab, integrating Myriad first, with Polymarket and Kalshi to follow. This analysis covers the feature's mechanics, partner roles, regulatory landscape, and its place in the growing prediction market sector.
Introduction: A Watershed Moment for On-Chain Prediction Markets
In a significant move bridging decentralized finance (DeFi) with real-world event trading, Trust Wallet announced on December 2, 2025, the launch of a native "Predictions" feature directly within its self-custodial wallet interface. This integration, touted as the first of its kind by a mainstream wallet provider, allows users to trade tokenized outcomes on events spanning sports, crypto, politics, and culture without needing to switch platforms or applications.
The rollout is being executed through strategic partnerships with three leading prediction market platforms: Myriad, which powers the initial launch; Polymarket; and Kalshi, with the latter two integrations scheduled for future multi-chain deployment. This development signals a major step in the maturation and accessibility of on-chain prediction markets, embedding them into the daily workflow of millions of crypto users and potentially unlocking new liquidity and user bases for the underlying platforms.
The Mechanics: How Trust Wallet’s Native Predictions Feature Works
Trust Wallet has introduced “Predictions” as a new tab directly on its existing Swaps page. According to the announcement, this design enables eligible users to perform a seamless series of actions from a single interface:
- Browse Markets: Users can explore available prediction markets aggregated from the partnered platforms.
- Select Outcomes: For each event, users can trade on outcomes, typically structured as YES/NO propositions (e.g., "Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by June 2026?").
- Track Resolution: Users can monitor their positions and the resolution of events entirely within the Trust Wallet app.
The core innovation is the elimination of the need to exit the wallet environment. Traditionally, engaging with a prediction market required navigating to a separate dApp or website, connecting a wallet, approving transactions, and managing funds across interfaces. Trust Wallet’s native integration abstracts this complexity, presenting prediction market trading with a user experience akin to a simple token swap. As noted in the announcement, this streamlined access could even facilitate easier arbitrage opportunities between the different integrated prediction platforms.
Partner Spotlight: Myriad Takes First-Mover Position
At launch, the Predictions feature is exclusively powered by Myriad. This partnership grants Myriad significant first-mover advantage within Trust Wallet’s vast user ecosystem. The integration provides Myriad with direct exposure to a user base accustomed to self-custody and in-app trading functionalities.
The specific technical implementation of how Myriad’s markets are sourced and settled within the wallet was not detailed in the announcement. However, the partnership represents a critical distribution channel for Myriad, potentially driving increased trading volume and liquidity by lowering the barrier to entry for Trust Wallet users who may be new to prediction markets.
The Roadmap: Polymarket and Kalshi Await Multi-Chain Integration
While Myriad is live, the integrations for Polymarket and Kalshi are confirmed to be part of a planned future rollout. The announcement specifies that each platform will be integrated "on a different chain," highlighting the multi-chain strategy of the feature.
This phased approach allows Trust Wallet to manage technical integration complexities and regulatory considerations per partner. Polymarket, operating primarily on Polygon, has been a dominant force in crypto-native prediction markets, known for high-volume trading on geopolitical and crypto events. Kalshi, in contrast, is a regulated U.S.-based exchange for event contracts, offering a distinct model focused on compliance within specific jurisdictions.
The eventual aggregation of these three platforms into one Trust Wallet interface promises users a uniquely comprehensive view of global prediction liquidity across both decentralized and regulated paradigms.
Navigating the Regulatory Mosaic: Access Is Not Universal
A critical caveat emphasized in Trust Wallet’s announcement is that access to these prediction markets is not universal. The feature's availability for any individual user is governed by the "regulatory and geographic rules of each underlying prediction market."
This creates a tiered access model:
- Myriad and Polymarket: As decentralized platforms, they enforce their own geographic restrictions based on IP addresses and other compliance mechanisms.
- Kalshi: Being a regulated U.S. exchange, its integration will be subject to strict Know Your Customer (KYC) and eligibility requirements, limiting access only to qualified users within permitted jurisdictions.
Users will likely encounter grayed-out features or disclaimers based on their location and the partner platform's terms. This careful framing reflects the sensitive and evolving regulatory landscape surrounding event-based trading globally.
Contextualizing the Move: The Resurgent Interest in Prediction Markets
Trust Wallet’s strategic pivot into this sector is not occurring in a vacuum. It aligns with a period of renewed and growing institutional interest in prediction markets as tools for information aggregation and sentiment trading.
As noted in industry analysis, platforms like Polymarket have secured institutional backing from giants like Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and have seen their data integrated into mainstream financial portals like Google Finance and Yahoo! Finance. This trend frames prediction markets not merely as gambling venues but as valuable sources of liquid, crowd-sourced forecast data on everything from election results to Federal Reserve decisions and token launch outcomes.
By integrating these markets natively, Trust Wallet is positioning itself at the intersection of two growing trends: the demand for self-custodial financial sovereignty and the utility of decentralized information markets.
Comparative Analysis: The Roles of Myriad, Polymarket, and Kalshi
While all three partners fall under the broad umbrella of prediction markets, they serve distinct roles that complement each other within Trust Wallet’s aggregated interface:
- Myriad: Acts as the launch partner and initial gateway. Its role is to onboard Trust Wallet users to prediction market mechanics with lower initial friction.
- Polymarket: Represents the deep liquidity pool of the crypto-native prediction ecosystem. Upon integration, it will likely offer the widest variety of markets on speculative crypto events and global politics, appealing to DeFi-savvy users.
- Kalshi: Represents the bridge to regulated, traditional finance (TradFi). Its inclusion signals an acknowledgment of compliant markets and could attract a different user segment interested in trading on economic indicators or mainstream events within a regulated framework.
Together, this trio allows Trust Wallet to cater to a spectrum of users—from those taking their first step into event-based trading to professional traders seeking arbitrage between decentralized and regulated information markets.
Conclusion: A Strategic Inflection Point for Accessibility
The integration of native prediction markets into Trust Wallet marks a strategic inflection point for both the wallet provider and the sector. For Trust Wallet, it expands its utility beyond asset storage and swaps into sophisticated information trading, increasing user engagement and stickiness within its ecosystem.
For the prediction market industry, this move represents unprecedented mainstream distribution. Embedding these platforms into a top-tier wallet dramatically reduces user acquisition costs and technical barriers, potentially catalyzing an influx of new participants and capital.
What to Watch Next: The key developments for observers will be:
- The execution timeline and technical implementation of the Polymarket and Kalshi integrations.
- User adoption metrics and volume migration from standalone platforms to the wallet-native interface.
- Regulatory responses as this fused model of self-custody and event trading reaches a broader audience.
- Whether other major wallet providers follow suit with similar integrations, validating this as a new standard for wallet functionality.
By aggregating diverse prediction platforms into a single, self-custodial interface, Trust Wallet is not just adding a feature—it is pioneering a new model for accessing decentralized information markets, with implications for liquidity fragmentation, user experience, and the very perception of what a cryptocurrency wallet can be.