Quant’s 14% Rally Faces Critical Supply Zone Test: Can QNT Break Through the $100 Barrier?
Introduction
In a market where double-digit gains have become increasingly elusive, Quant (QNT) has emerged as a standout performer. On November 30, 2025, QNT recorded a significant 14% rally, the highest gain among major digital assets within a 24-hour period. This surge propelled the token’s price to $93, bringing the crucial $100 threshold firmly into view. The rally is underpinned by a notable convergence of buying activity from both spot and derivative investors, with market data reflecting an 88% investor confidence level. However, this upward momentum now faces its most formidable challenge: a well-defined and historically potent supply zone between $93.32 and $99.13. This price region has twice before triggered severe rejections, leading to price declines of over 27% on each occasion. The central question for traders and investors is whether the current influx of capital and market optimism can overcome this persistent barrier or if QNT is poised for another significant correction.
Why is QNT Up? A Convergence of Spot and Derivative Confidence
The recent price appreciation of QNT is not an isolated event but the result of coordinated action across different segments of the market. The most compelling evidence for the rally stems from a decisive shift in investor behavior following a brief period of sell-offs.
In the spot market, investors demonstrated renewed conviction by purchasing a significant amount of QNT, totalling $248,000. This acquisition marks a sharp reversal from the two preceding days of selling pressure that had previously weighed on the price. This quick shift from a downtrend to accumulation suggests a foundational confidence in QNT’s value at its current trading levels.
Simultaneously, derivative markets are echoing this bullish sentiment. Data from CoinGlass shows that Open Interest (OI)—the total value of all outstanding derivative contracts—surged to approximately $18 million. A substantial $1.5 million of this was added in the same 24-hour window as the price rally. Crucially, this increase in Open Interest is accompanied by a positive Funding Rate. In derivative trading, a positive Funding Rate indicates that traders holding long positions are paying those with short positions, a dynamic that typically occurs when the market is leaning bullish and there is a consensus that the price will continue to trend upward. This alignment between spot buying and derivative positioning creates a powerful, albeit temporary, foundation for continued price growth.
QNT Hits a Major Supply Zone: The $100 Hurdle Explained
As QNT approaches the $100 mark, it enters a technically significant and dangerous price region known as a supply zone. For traders, a supply zone represents a concentration of unfilled sell limit orders. These are orders placed by holders who previously bought at higher prices and are waiting for the asset to return to those levels to break even or exit their positions. When the price enters this zone, it activates these dormant sell orders, creating a wall of selling pressure that can be difficult to overcome.
For QNT, this specific supply zone is meticulously defined on the chart between $93.32 and $99.13. The historical precedent for this zone is stark and serves as a serious cautionary tale for current bulls.
- First Rejection: The initial test of this supply zone resulted in a price rejection that catalyzed a 27.73% decline.
- Second Rejection: The second attempt to break through was similarly thwarted, leading to a 27.06% drop in QNT's value.
This historical data reveals a clear pattern: this supply zone has acted as a firm ceiling for QNT’s price. A third rejection at this level could, based on the average of previous declines, potentially lead to a 27.3% correction, pulling the price down to around $70.
However, technical analysis is not solely about resistance; it also identifies potential paths forward. A decisive breakout above the upper boundary of this supply zone at $99.13 would invalidate the bearish thesis and open the door to higher price targets. Chart analysis highlights three subsequent levels of interest: $104, $113, and a peak at $121.
Capital Inflow Rises, But Underlying Caution Remains
Beyond direct price action, on-chain and momentum indicators provide a more nuanced view of market health, revealing both strengths and underlying vulnerabilities in the current rally.
A key bullish signal comes from the Money Flow Index (MFI), which has been rising and is positioned above the neutral 50 level. The MFI is a momentum indicator that incorporates both price and volume data to measure the intensity of money flowing into an asset. Its upward trajectory confirms that new capital is actively entering the QNT market and that bulls are currently in control of the momentum.
This positive signal is counterbalanced by a concerning reading from the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator. Despite the price increase, the A/D line suggests that investors are distributing the token—a term that signifies selling or profit-taking. This activity is further corroborated by a drop in trading volume to 970,000.
The coexistence of these conflicting signals paints a complex picture. The rising MFI confirms fresh buying pressure, while the declining A/D indicates that other holders are using this price strength as an opportunity to exit their positions. This is often interpreted not as panic selling but as strategic profit-taking. Investors who accumulated QNT at lower prices are likely securing gains, which creates friction against further upward movement.
The critical risk emerges if these signals begin to align negatively. Should the Money Flow Index reverse its course and begin to decline simultaneously with the Distribution metric, it would suggest that buying pressure is drying up while selling pressure is intensifying. Such a scenario could trigger a sharp and significant plunge in QNT's price.
Strategic Conclusion: Navigating Volatility at a Critical Juncture
Quant’s 14% rally is a textbook example of a crypto asset being pulled between potent bullish forces and formidable technical resistance. The move was undeniably driven by genuine capital inflow and aligned optimism from both spot and derivative investors, rather than mere market rotation.
For traders and long-term holders, the immediate future hinges on the battle at the $93.32 to $99.13 supply zone. The historical weight of this level cannot be understated; it has proven to be a reliable area for significant sell-offs. The conflicting signals from the MFI and A/D indicators further underscore the need for caution, highlighting that not all market participants are convinced of a sustained breakout.
What to Watch Next:
- The Supply Zone Test: Monitor the price action closely as QNT trades within the $93-$99 range. A decisive daily close above $99.13 could signal a breakout and shift focus toward the $104 target.
- Volume Confirmation: For any breakout to be considered valid, it should be accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, well above the recent 970,000 level.
- Indicator Alignment: Watch for either a convergence of the MFI and A/D indicators (both turning positive for a strong bullish signal or both turning negative for a bearish collapse) or a continued divergence suggesting ongoing market indecision.
In the broader context, QNT’s performance serves as a microcosm of the crypto market's constant tension between investor psychology and technical reality. While the short-term momentum is positive, the path of least resistance remains uncertain until QNT conclusively proves it can conquer its historical demons above the $100 mark.